Canada–U.S. Tax

My Canadian Business Is Expanding to the U.S. — What Changes for Tax?

Selling into the U.S. and operating in the U.S. are different tax events. The treaty protects the first far more than the second — and the states are not party to the treaty at all.

Numera Decision LibraryGrounded in official sourcesEducational publication
Why this decision matters

For a Canadian company, U.S. revenue arrives in stages, and each stage has its own tax trigger. Exporting from Canada is the gentlest. A permanent establishment — a fixed place of business, a dependent agent concluding contracts, or lengthy service projects on U.S. soil — is the threshold that gives the IRS the right to tax your business profits.

Below federal tax sits a second, often larger surface: the states. State income tax nexus and sales tax nexus operate on their own rules, are not constrained by the treaty, and — since the Wayfair decision — can be created by sales volume alone, with no physical presence at all.

The central idea

The treaty shields profits until you have a permanent establishment. The states never signed the treaty.

Under the treaty's permanent establishment article, a Canadian company's business profits are taxable by the U.S. only if attributable to a U.S. PE — but 'PE' includes more than an office: dependent agents habitually concluding contracts, construction sites beyond twelve months, and services rendered in the U.S. beyond day-count thresholds can all cross the line. Even with no PE, best practice is a protective Form 1120-F with a treaty-based disclosure (Form 8833), preserving deductions and starting limitation periods. Once a PE exists, structure becomes the question: a branch (with branch profits tax, treaty-capped) versus a U.S. subsidiary, with transfer pricing documentation governing every cross-border charge under both section 247 in Canada and section 482 in the U.S.

The state layer demands its own map. Economic nexus thresholds — commonly around $100,000 of sales into a state — create sales tax registration and collection duties product by product, state by state, and many states assert income or franchise tax without regard to the federal treaty. Add U.S. payroll (an EIN, federal and state withholding, unemployment insurance) once anyone works on U.S. soil, and the expansion checklist becomes as much about registration hygiene as about tax rates.

What changes the answer

Factors that matter

  • How you touch the U.S.Remote sales, travelling employees, warehoused inventory, service projects, and local hires each sit at different points on the risk ladder.
  • PE analysis under the treatyFixed base, dependent agent, construction, and services clauses — the analysis is factual and worth doing early.
  • Branch versus subsidiaryLiability, financing, branch profits tax, and exit flexibility all weigh on the structure choice.
  • State nexus footprintSales tax and income tax nexus accumulate silently as revenue grows — mapping is an ongoing process.
  • Transfer pricingEvery intercompany transaction needs an arm's-length price and contemporaneous documentation from day one.
Decision framework

Before you decide

  • Do our current U.S. activities already create a permanent establishment — or state nexus?
  • Should we file protective U.S. returns even while treaty-protected?
  • Branch or subsidiary, and who has modelled the difference?
  • Which states do our sales, people, and inventory touch?
  • Are our intercompany charges priced and documented defensibly?
Practical next steps

Move from question to action.

01

Commission a PE and state-nexus study before scaling U.S. activity — retroactive discovery is the expensive kind.

02

File protective Forms 1120-F/8833 where a no-PE position is being relied on.

03

Choose and implement the structure (branch or subsidiary) with advisors on both sides of the border.

04

Register for sales tax where thresholds are crossed and set up U.S. payroll before the first U.S. hire.

05

Build the transfer pricing file as transactions begin, not when an auditor asks.

Educational use notice

This publication is part of the Numera Decision Library and is provided for education only. It is general information — not accounting, tax, legal, or investment advice — and it does not consider your personal circumstances. Every guide is grounded in official guidance from government and regulated authorities — including the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA), the Department of Finance Canada, Service Canada and Employment and Social Development Canada, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), and the Canadian Centre for Cyber Security — with the sources listed at the end of each guide. Tax rules and dollar limits change; confirm current figures with the official source, and speak with a qualified professional before acting on any decision discussed here.

This guide addresses tax and financial-reporting matters only. Nothing in it is immigration advice; residency for tax purposes is distinct from immigration status, and immigration questions should be directed to a licensed immigration professional.

Official references

Sources are official government and regulated-authority publications. Official sites reorganize periodically — search the document title if a link has moved.

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